Assessing relative risks is hard

 When you've lost the NYT . . . .

5 comments:

Assistant Village Idiot said...

I don't think there are many actual people who are in favor of indefinite restrictions, especially now that many have already be reduced or eliminated. I think it's mostly some government officials, and health officials in particular, who have to hold down the more restrictive end of the argument anyway. The few get a lot of press because it bothers some of us so much, but I don't think there are many.

Texan99 said...

I'd welcome confirmation that there are few left and no one with any influence is paying attention to them any more.

Assistant Village Idiot said...

No, unfortunately it's people with influence who are still the true believers. I believe they are increasingly outnumbered, but they are disproportionate among the intense lockdown people. Most of their supporters have moved to "moderately cautious," and "willing to increase risk a little." That will be fine.

Texan99 said...

Meanwhile much of the public has moved to "completely had it," and the former nanniest of the nannies are starting to pretend they've always been privately skeptical of lockdowns, censorship, and vaccine/mask mandates. It may soon be a full-fledged abrupt preference cascade.

I listened to some talking head or another yesterday mentioning casually that Donald Trump "now" favors vaccines, as if he hadn't developed the COVID vaccine in record time and touted it loudly from the start, and as if it hadn't been his prominent opponents who loudly proclaimed the virtues of vaccine skepticism early on. I think we're in the initial stages of one of the establishment media's patented history re-writes: before long they may be claiming that conservatives ruined the economy to no real purpose, and they were for medical freedom all along, including the freedom to test cures. But if hypocrisy is the tribute that vice pays to virtue, the effort to rewrite history is the tribute that political disaster pays to changing public opinion.

ymarsakar said...

The more I researched American history, the more rewrites I blatantly saw people consume.