Fall Color: October 29

It’s high color here now. 

Just the driveway, but it’s pretty!

This is that Wolf Creek I mentioned the other day, way up above the loading lot that bears the name of the farm.

Wolf Lake, above the small hydroelectric dam.

All sorts of color: reds, vibrant orange, yellows and golds, and some evergreens— mostly hemlock and red spruce— make up the local forests.

Perhaps a cookout.

Comments Policy

It's been about three years since I posted this, and once again we have an uptick in anonymous comments, so I'm posting it again. Nothing has changed for long-time readers. This is just to inform newer members of the Hall.
Since we have been getting so many anonymous comments lately, I thought I should repost the comments policy. It's very old: in 2015 it was nine, so it must now be a teenager. Anonymous comments are allowed, but must be signed with some kind of pseudonym that you'll stick by so that we can keep everybody straight. It's hard to carry on a conversation with three different "Anonymous" at once, not being sure which one said what or if they're all the same guy. 

Anyway, here it is.
Please be welcome, so long as you will adhere to this form.
I adopted [this policy] from the sadly-defunct Texas Mercury, a fringe publication but one whose bold assertion of well considered and unusual ideas I always enjoyed:
As we see it, modern society has all the important ideas of life exactly backwards: we are completely against the belief in sensitivity and tolerance in politics and raffish disregard in private life. The Texas Mercury is founded on the opposite principles- our idea is of tolerance and polite sensitivity in private life and ruthless truth in politics. Be nice to your neighbor. Be hell to his ideas.
Comments failing to uphold those principles run the risk of being deleted without warning. In the year and some months since I adopted that as the policy here, I've added one additional point: hit-and-run comments, as well as anonymous comments, will generally be deleted. If you're a regular here, and willing to stand up and fight for what you believe, you can say pretty much anything that isn't a personal attack on a fellow reader. If you're just wandering through, or unwilling to leave your name (even a false name you'll stand by will do, e.g., "Grim"), pass on. This is a hall, and regular readers are honored guests not to be troubled by cowards.
Fair enough? Well, fair or unfair, those are the rules. 
The only thing that's been added since is that off-topic comments may be marked as SPAM, which will cause them to disappear from user's experience. I don't delete them, but I do sometimes so mark them because we've had some people over the years who proved it necessary. 

Try not to do anything that will make me add to this list. I liked it better when it was simpler.  

Meanwhile in Afghanistan

 donkey's mistake left 51 dead

According to foreign media, worshippers inside a mosque in #Afghanistan were performing their prayers when a frightened donkey bolted and entered the mosque. Some angry worshippers opened fire on the donkey, killing it.
The news reached the donkey's owner, who, enraged, rushed to the mosque, opened fire on the worshippers with a hail of bullets, and fled.
Thirteen worshippers were killed inside the mosque.
The remaining worshippers, enraged, launched an attack on the donkey owner's village using light and heavy weapons, killing 38 people, including 33 women.
Ultimately, a donkey going to a mosque resulted in the deaths of 51 people.
Video at the link.

This seems to be what gun control advocates think will happen in the US if they don't somehow manage to institute new bans on weapons we already have millions of widely distributed among the population. However, what we actually have in the US is the lowest murder rate on record. 

Good News!

The Pope says you don’t have to go to Mass anymore because any sort of good in your culture will suffice. At least I think that’s what this means. 


So, really, there’s no need to get specific about what or how or if you worship. The Unitarians were right all along, I guess. 

UPDATE: 

A reasonable point as far as it goes, but it doesn't go to the Vatican. 

And if Grandma Just had Wheels She’d be a Train


Yeah, except for that!

Jealous of Socialism?

Bill Maher has a segment this week suggesting that young people are turning towards socialism because they are jealous of the socialism their elders already enjoy.


There is a point here, and it's one that Republicans used to make when they claimed they were budget hawks -- say, thirty years ago. They used to point out that these programs were not affordable, and some of them even used to point out that they were bad investments. They are bad investments in that you are pouring money into people who are past the years in which they are likely to contribute to the whole of society, as opposed to investing in the education of younger people who might yet if only they had some education. Social Security in particular was a bad investment compared to just putting money in the stock market, or bonds, or almost anything at all other than letting the government manage it. 

Germany will essentially pay for you to go to college for as long as you want to go, including if you want to pursue a doctorate in some fairly obscure discipline. We bankrupt you for going to college, especially grad school, by using Federal student loans to inflate tuition and tie everyone who does to loans they may never be able to pay off. The government thus turns those who do seek education into a kind of double-tax-farm: they have to pay higher taxes on their increased wages, while also paying the government interest on the loans for decades. Add in the years of lost wages you suffer from pursuing such degrees, and you probably come out worse off by pursuing advanced degrees.

Socialism is a proven failure as an economic model, as everyone used to understand back when the education system was better. Somehow, pouring more money into education has only made it worse, and not just because so much of that money is going to pay off pensions for public-sector-teachers-union members who don't teach anymore. You don't need any teaching to recognize when you've been handed a bad deal, though. The government has made everything worse, in ways that profit only the government, which is still somehow tens of trillions in debt. 

You don't have to want a handout to want to stop being robbed. 

Treason & Waging War

Readers know that I have a fairly high opinion of treason. We celebrate it every year around here on the 4th of July. A great deal of positive progress in the history of our civilization was arguably treason at the time, and sometimes so clearly so that it isn't even arguable that it was not treason. Once in a while, treason is just what you need because -- as the Declaration of Independence puts it -- the powers that be have become hostile to the rights whose defense is their only legitimate purpose for existing. 

So, when I disagree with Cynical Publius here in asserting that this behavior is indeed a species of treason, I am not thereby making the point many others would be making if they said so. 
Having said that, I'd like to correct something I said on a Spaces where I commented that organizing with a foreign power to overthrow our government is "the very definition of treason."

I did some legal research and that's not quite true.

The federal law governing this is 18 U.S. Code § 2381, which reads as follows:

"Whoever, owing allegiance to the United States, levies war against them or adheres to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort within the United States or elsewhere, is guilty of treason and shall suffer death, or shall be imprisoned not less than five years and fined under this title but not less than $10,000; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States."

The question then becomes, what is an "enemy" that must be "adhere[d]" to in order for it to be treason?

Like with most complex issues of law, there is not a 100% straightforward answer, but an 1863 SCOTUS case, U.S. v. Greathouse, suggests that an "enemy" in this context must be in an open state of armed conflict with the U.S. for a nation to be an "enemy."

So, technically, the Color Revolution plotters are likely not legally committing "treason" unless they are coordinating with Iran, the only nation we are currently in armed conflict with.  (And they may well be, who knows!)

To the contrary, both the statute and the Constitution's text on the subject contain the "or" operator. No foreign government and no foreign enemy is necessary for a behavior to constitute treason. Treason can be fully constituted by waging war against the United States. 

Attempting any sort of revolution against the government is a species of warfighting, 'color' revolution or not. The attempt to supplant the government by revolution, however often they proclaim that they are devoted to nonviolent means, is a species of warfighting. There is no way the nonviolence will prove to be more than rhetorical, but even supposing it were possible -- say, perhaps, by enlisting an AI swarm that effectively but nonviolently disabled the existing government so you could swoop in and impose another -- you would have destroyed a government without the consent of the governed, and replaced it with one to which they did not consent. 

Treason can be the right thing to do, and sometimes -- often! -- has been. It is a wager of battle, however, and losers of that wager pay with their lives. It should be undertaken only by those who honestly believe in it and are willing to gamble their lives, their fortunes, and their sacred honor. 

Fall Color: October 27

Wolf Creek is several miles above this, but that is legitimately where they grow the Christmas trees. This is where they collect them for loading on rigs to distribute to the people of the country. 

Western Carolina University, from the Medical Center. 

Same position, looking east.

Serbia and Brazil Fall

I had thought the Serbian 'color revolution' attempt had collapsed, but a 'student led' coalition swept the elections. Likewise in Brazil, an unexpected sudden surge (following a judge keeping the election counting going after the deadline) kept the Communists in power after what looked like a clear and predictable victory for the more right-wing faction. Parallel: Brazil's stock market collapses by a similar margin.

Buckle up, I guess. The Brazilians are fighting.

Fall Color: October 25th



Bear Lake is visible amidst the trees.

 It's approaching the high color now.

The Feast of St. Raphael

St. Raphael is actually an angel; one of the anonymous comments in the Venison and Gasoline post left a comment about Guardian Angels, of which Raphael is supposed to be one. 
Though there are seven archangels altogether, St. Raphael, also known as Azarias, is one of the three Archangels named in Sacred Scripture; the other two are St. Michael (the warrior angel) and St. Gabriel (the messenger angel). St. Raphael is the healer angel; his very name in Hebrew means "God has healed."

We meet him first in the Book of Tobias -- a small book, consisting only of fourteen chapters.
The Book of Tobias is deemed apocryphal by Protestant traditions, but it is accepted in the Catholic and Orthodox traditions. Regardless of your opinion of its legitimacy, I do think it contains a valuable ethical principle that is sometimes called the Silver Rule, a kind of restrictive version of the prescriptive Golden Rule. This works out to "Do not do to others that which you hate," which Tobias presents as advice to his son on how to live a good life. As the occasion for our observation of this feast this year is the salvation of my son from a motorcycle wreck, that seems relevant.

Please do feast if you feel called to do so; I will be arranging one myself.

Oh, Dear: AI Now Defies EN I.3

A new update to LLMs gives them a symbolic logic model to test their decisions against before they explain them to you in natural language. 
Every AI you use right now has a massive blind spot. At its core, it is just a giant autocomplete engine.

It is brilliant at language, but fundamentally terrible at rigorous logic.

When you ask an AI to solve a complex math problem, execute a multi-step coding workflow, or map out a business strategy, it doesn't actually "think."

It guesses what the next word should be based on probability.

That is why your AI hallucinates. It uses vibes to do math.

Now, a new paper called "Hybrid Reasoning Agents" just completely changed the paradigm.

Researchers realized you can't fix this by just making the model bigger. You have to change how it processes reality.

They took the creative, language-generating power of a standard LLM (System 1) and wired it directly into a deterministic, symbolic logic engine (System 2).

Instead of predicting the next word and hoping it's right, the AI drafts a solution and instantly runs it through a strict logical solver to prove it works.

If the logic fails, the AI catches it, rewrites it, and tests it again. All in the background. All before you ever see the output.

It perfectly bridges the gap between neural networks (which guess) and symbolic logic (which proves).

And the results are staggering.

Complex reasoning and planning tasks that completely break traditional models are now being solved with near-perfect accuracy.

Because the AI is no longer relying on probability to verify its own logic.

This is NOT the great idea that they think it is. All of you who followed the Nicomachean Ethics discussion last year know why: this is precisely the error that Aristotle warns against in EN I.3. 

Our discussion will be adequate if it has as much clearness as the subject-matter admits of, for precision is not to be sought for alike in all discussions, any more than in all the products of the crafts. Now fine and just actions, which political science investigates, admit of much variety and fluctuation of opinion, so that they may be thought to exist only by convention, and not by nature. And goods also give rise to a similar fluctuation because they bring harm to many people; for before now men have been undone by reason of their wealth, and others by reason of their courage. We must be content, then, in speaking of such subjects and with such premisses to indicate the truth roughly and in outline, and in speaking about things which are only for the most part true and with premisses of the same kind to reach conclusions that are no better. In the same spirit, therefore, should each type of statement be received; for it is the mark of an educated man to look for precision in each class of things just so far as the nature of the subject admits; it is evidently equally foolish to accept probable reasoning from a mathematician and to demand from a rhetorician scientific proofs.

By treating analogical reasoning that can apply to people or physical objects as if it should be strict logic with proofs, you open the door to a host of errors. 

Bird Reich

The Atlanta Falcons should probably have run this new logo by a few more people. The comments are pretty wild.