He’s allowed. I agree they’re adapting as well as they can using the technology they have available; but drone motherships aren’t three carrier groups or combined arms Marine Expeditionary Units.
Two weeks ago Iran had a functioning navy and armor, plus missile platforms and an Air Force of sorts. Today they’ve got some drones.
In the end, it is what effect actions have on the enemy that counts. Volume of fire is a metric of output, not effect. And actions can have terrible leverage.
How much volume of fire was Gavrilo Princip emitting?
Enough, I suppose. However, the decrease in volume of fire in this case is a direct reflection of effect on the enemy. It’s a measure of the destruction of launch capability.
Agreed. But without a measure of the degradation or depletion of interception capability on the other side, the numbers are deceiving. The measure should be, how many enemy missiles are getting through, and what damage are they causing.
The propaganda war is in full swing- I have been reading stories from all sides. The censorship on reporting out of "our" side about damage to Israel and our bases is of concern- contrary to the presumable intent of minimizing concerns, it has instead made me wonder how bad it really is, if they have to go to lengths to hide it. After 20 years of US failure in Afghanistan, I have great respect for the endurance of Fundamental Islamist's.
Afghanistan is a little different. Our counterinsurgency strategy was a bad fit for it; we couldn't offer them anything they wanted more than they wanted not to be bossed around. The USSR failed there before we did.
The Iranians are a much better fit for our usual strategy of tying people into the world and making them rich and happy in return for not fighting us. I think the Iranian government is in the position Thomas Jefferson assigned to the South: "In slavery, we have a wolf by the ears." Sooner or later, the vast majority of that 93 million people are going to demand their freedom, and skin those who kept it from the for so long.
9 comments:
Trent Telenko has a different take.
He’s allowed. I agree they’re adapting as well as they can using the technology they have available; but drone motherships aren’t three carrier groups or combined arms Marine Expeditionary Units.
Two weeks ago Iran had a functioning navy and armor, plus missile platforms and an Air Force of sorts. Today they’ve got some drones.
In the end, it is what effect actions have on the enemy that counts.
Volume of fire is a metric of output, not effect.
And actions can have terrible leverage.
How much volume of fire was Gavrilo Princip emitting?
Enough, I suppose. However, the decrease in volume of fire in this case is a direct reflection of effect on the enemy. It’s a measure of the destruction of launch capability.
Agreed. But without a measure of the degradation or depletion of interception capability on the other side, the numbers are deceiving.
The measure should be, how many enemy missiles are getting through, and what damage are they causing.
The propaganda war is in full swing- I have been reading stories from all sides. The censorship on reporting out of "our" side about damage to Israel and our bases is of concern- contrary to the presumable intent of minimizing
concerns, it has instead made me wonder how bad it really is, if they have to go to lengths to hide it.
After 20 years of US failure in Afghanistan, I have great respect for the endurance of Fundamental Islamist's.
Afghanistan is a little different. Our counterinsurgency strategy was a bad fit for it; we couldn't offer them anything they wanted more than they wanted not to be bossed around. The USSR failed there before we did.
The Iranians are a much better fit for our usual strategy of tying people into the world and making them rich and happy in return for not fighting us. I think the Iranian government is in the position Thomas Jefferson assigned to the South: "In slavery, we have a wolf by the ears." Sooner or later, the vast majority of that 93 million people are going to demand their freedom, and skin those who kept it from the for so long.
I hope you are right. But I would not bet on it- too many of our attempts to bring freedom to the world have failed.
This time we’re not trying to. If they get any freedom, it’ll be by taking it.
Al Jazeera says we're winning.
https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/3/16/the-us-israeli-strategy-against-iran-is-working-here-is-why
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