It's not all bad, though. Medicine men and economists have trouble generating live, empirical experiments, but here's one, as Dave Karraker, owner of MX3 Fitness in the Castro, said in the piece:
What the city has unwillingly done is created this great case study that says that working out indoors is actually safe[.]
Now we have another such empirical study. To go with the cruise ship in Japan, the cruise ships off the Florida coast, the San Diego data. The recent Wuhan Virus surges in three highly publicized States, which surges are waning and don't have commensurate rises in mortality rates.
Infection rates are associated with vanishingly small mortality rates. Now including with the SF government gyms.
I am just DYING to see what the CDC reports the death rate for the 2020 flu season. Because I can almost guarantee that they're attributing any and all respiratory illness related deaths as COVID-19, which will come to light when we find out that there were no flu deaths (as compared to the usual 30-60 thousand deaths reported annually) and around 200 thousand COVID deaths. Now, this DOES mean that COVID ended up killing about twice as many as the flu generally does, but most of those deaths are directly attributable to the idiotic packing of COVID positive patients into nursing homes in NY and Michigan (and states like them).
I have some sympathy for the people who try to decide which multi-factor deaths should be chalked up to COVID. I've been wondering if we'll see a big drop next year in deaths among the COVID-vulnerable population, because this virus may have basically front-loaded a lot of deaths that were fairly imminent.
I think it was still fair to call many of them COVID deaths, because even if someone was not expected to last much more than a year, he still died early, and it wasn't a coincidence that he died in the clutches of a tough virus. If there have been 200,000 deaths more than predicted this year, they have to be explained somehow.
But from a public health standpoint, the problem wasn't all COVID, and the mortality statistics next year may well show that the problem wasn't even mostly COVID. We'll see. It doesn't appear possible to say anything for sure this year.
3 comments:
It's not all bad, though. Medicine men and economists have trouble generating live, empirical experiments, but here's one, as Dave Karraker, owner of MX3 Fitness in the Castro, said in the piece:
What the city has unwillingly done is created this great case study that says that working out indoors is actually safe[.]
Now we have another such empirical study. To go with the cruise ship in Japan, the cruise ships off the Florida coast, the San Diego data. The recent Wuhan Virus surges in three highly publicized States, which surges are waning and don't have commensurate rises in mortality rates.
Infection rates are associated with vanishingly small mortality rates. Now including with the SF government gyms.
Eric Hines
I am just DYING to see what the CDC reports the death rate for the 2020 flu season. Because I can almost guarantee that they're attributing any and all respiratory illness related deaths as COVID-19, which will come to light when we find out that there were no flu deaths (as compared to the usual 30-60 thousand deaths reported annually) and around 200 thousand COVID deaths. Now, this DOES mean that COVID ended up killing about twice as many as the flu generally does, but most of those deaths are directly attributable to the idiotic packing of COVID positive patients into nursing homes in NY and Michigan (and states like them).
I have some sympathy for the people who try to decide which multi-factor deaths should be chalked up to COVID. I've been wondering if we'll see a big drop next year in deaths among the COVID-vulnerable population, because this virus may have basically front-loaded a lot of deaths that were fairly imminent.
I think it was still fair to call many of them COVID deaths, because even if someone was not expected to last much more than a year, he still died early, and it wasn't a coincidence that he died in the clutches of a tough virus. If there have been 200,000 deaths more than predicted this year, they have to be explained somehow.
But from a public health standpoint, the problem wasn't all COVID, and the mortality statistics next year may well show that the problem wasn't even mostly COVID. We'll see. It doesn't appear possible to say anything for sure this year.
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