Best tank up. Iranian-backed Yemeni Houthi rebels claim credit for taking out half of Saudi Arabia's oil production (5% of world production) in a drone strike this weekend. Good thing U.S. energy production has soared in the last couple of years.
Yikes. And per Bloomberg, "For oil markets, it’s the single worst sudden disruption ever, surpassing the loss of Kuwaiti and Iraqi petroleum supply in August 1990, when Saddam Hussein invaded his neighbor. It also exceeds the loss of Iranian oil output in 1979 during the Islamic Revolution, according to data from the U.S. Department of Energy."
I understand Iraq denies it, but what's new. Anyone with a fixed address would deny it.
Some have said* that Iran has been hoping to provoke a proportional response to its provocations so that it could attract international support in its struggle against the big bully, ala "The Mouse That Roared"**. Instead it has disrupted the oil markets of Europe and East Asia. With the US sitting fat, dumb and happy vis-a-vis oil, it has weakened their positions in the current hard ball game the US is playing.
*I don't like that locution but this is a comment, not an essay. **https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mouse_That_Roared
"Beginning in 2018, several missile systems began to emerge in Yemen that while broadly similar to Iranian-designed systems have no exact Iranian equivalent. These missiles include the Badr-1P and the Badr-F precision-guided solid-fuel short range missiles.
"Is Iran secretly designing, testing and producing missile systems for exclusive use by its proxies?"
That would be smarter than launching the attack from your own soil. The main reason not to strike Iran might be that they so obviously are trying to provoke us.
Our intel now is discounting a launch from Iraq (although that could be just for public consumption); the attack was by 19(?) cruise missiles from Iran.
The main reason not to strike Iran might be that they so obviously are trying to provoke us.
Let that be the case. A properly done strike (easily done militarily, if maybe not so, politically) would still leave Iran with little navy, no naval access to the Arabian Gulf, and greatly reduced missile launch and airfield capacity. I'll live with the international opprobrium of the timid nations to achieve that.
Here's a presser that would make some heads explode:
Predient Trump Good afternoon. I have been informed by our intelligence agencies that the attack on Saudi Arabia's refinery was launched by Iran. The world should not have to put up with such bad behavior. Very bad. Therefore, I have just signed an executive order granting Most Favored Nation trade status to any country that sinks at least one Iranian naval ship within the next two weeks. Thank you, and happy hunting.
Apo has the usable strategy. If a superpower needs a nation to disappear, they don't need ot take action directly. In fact, doing so would be stupid, given lack of deniability.
Hiring some "pirates" to hijack the Iranian's entire navy, isn't exactly impossible or unfeasible.
Normally, a country's intelligence network would be doing this to disrupt their enemies, sorta like KGB did to the USA> We all know the CIA and FBI are doing something else, like making bank trafficking in minors and sex slaves. Because the yare obviously not using their black and white funds to do anything useful, anywhere, for their host country. That's because they don't obey their host country to begin with, that's not their chain of command. Not for the black hats. The white hats are clueless patriots.
10 comments:
Looks like they’re lying, and the strike came from Iraq. Buckle up.
Yikes. And per Bloomberg, "For oil markets, it’s the single worst sudden disruption ever, surpassing the loss of Kuwaiti and Iraqi petroleum supply in August 1990, when Saddam Hussein invaded his neighbor. It also exceeds the loss of Iranian oil output in 1979 during the Islamic Revolution, according to data from the U.S. Department of Energy."
I understand Iraq denies it, but what's new. Anyone with a fixed address would deny it.
Texan99,
And that is a major blunder by Iran.
Some have said* that Iran has been hoping to provoke a proportional response to its provocations so that it could attract international support in its struggle against the big bully, ala "The Mouse That Roared"**. Instead it has disrupted the oil markets of Europe and East Asia. With the US sitting fat, dumb and happy vis-a-vis oil, it has weakened their positions in the current hard ball game the US is playing.
*I don't like that locution but this is a comment, not an essay.
**https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mouse_That_Roared
In related news, Cuban achieves increasing fuel efficiency. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cuba-economy-idUSKCN1VY2F7
"Beginning in 2018, several missile systems began to emerge in Yemen that while broadly similar to Iranian-designed systems have no exact Iranian equivalent. These missiles include the Badr-1P and the Badr-F precision-guided solid-fuel short range missiles.
"Is Iran secretly designing, testing and producing missile systems for exclusive use by its proxies?"
https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1208062/meet-the-quds-1/
That would be smarter than launching the attack from your own soil. The main reason not to strike Iran might be that they so obviously are trying to provoke us.
Our intel now is discounting a launch from Iraq (although that could be just for public consumption); the attack was by 19(?) cruise missiles from Iran.
The main reason not to strike Iran might be that they so obviously are trying to provoke us.
Let that be the case. A properly done strike (easily done militarily, if maybe not so, politically) would still leave Iran with little navy, no naval access to the Arabian Gulf, and greatly reduced missile launch and airfield capacity. I'll live with the international opprobrium of the timid nations to achieve that.
Eric Hines
Here's a presser that would make some heads explode:
Predient Trump Good afternoon. I have been informed by our intelligence agencies that the attack on Saudi Arabia's refinery was launched by Iran. The world should not have to put up with such bad behavior. Very bad.
Therefore, I have just signed an executive order granting Most Favored Nation trade status to any country that sinks at least one Iranian naval ship within the next two weeks.
Thank you, and happy hunting.
Well maybe if American boy wonder Hussein hadn't given Iran billions in cash.... they wouldn't have enough funding to create a Drone Army...
Sighs, humans. Probably still blaming Trojan horses on Helen.
Apo has the usable strategy. If a superpower needs a nation to disappear, they don't need ot take action directly. In fact, doing so would be stupid, given lack of deniability.
Hiring some "pirates" to hijack the Iranian's entire navy, isn't exactly impossible or unfeasible.
Normally, a country's intelligence network would be doing this to disrupt their enemies, sorta like KGB did to the USA> We all know the CIA and FBI are doing something else, like making bank trafficking in minors and sex slaves. Because the yare obviously not using their black and white funds to do anything useful, anywhere, for their host country. That's because they don't obey their host country to begin with, that's not their chain of command. Not for the black hats. The white hats are clueless patriots.
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