Jews awake
In my old firm, adding my colleagues' identity as lawyers to their predominantly being Jews and New Yorkers meant a triple whammy for their political alignment. They were intensely capitalist but almost uniformly Democrats.For years I've wondered if the increasingly obvious anti-Semitism on the left would push them into the arms of the GOP or even--gasp--Trump. After October 7, 2023, I watched even more closely. It seems the moment may have arrived at last.
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That 67-22 also includes Blacks, who have high religious affiliation but have not moved significantly away from the Democratic Party since the 60s. So there may be more to come in terms of the religious.
They could do more by remaining Democrats and using the primary to move the party in a salutary direction. Then they could vote for the best candidate in the general regardless of party.
I think there's some over interpretation going on here. All this poll asked was Presidential preference this year so it alone doesn't indicate a switch of party identification.
Once a social group concludes they've been lied to, they'll be far more skeptical the next time they're fed nonsense, and will experience far less resistance to the idea of taking a new direction despite the social stigma. And they'll have company the next time, too. I remember the process well: the first change of attitude is the most wrenching. They may find that it's not a question of a single awful candidate, it's an entire platform built on faulty assumptions and leading inevitably to disastrous results.
Argument going on at Chicag Boyz as to whether a significant number of people have changeable opinions (at least as far as voting in this election goes) or whether everyone is so locked in that best to focus exclusively on stirring up The Base. I'm of the former view.
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