Whether because we overestimated the spread of infection, or because social-distancing worked, or both, we seem to have staved off the worst scenarios of overloaded hospitals.
8 comments:
ymarsakar
said...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dBxsB5o5nk
Trum talks more about how governors asked for more than they thought they needed.
Mostly because Trum knew any potential trauma casualties would be coming from inside certain city combat theaters.
As for the CDC/Who, I mentioned here that they Obeyed orders from a chain of command that was not what people thought. Trum talks more about what was going on with WHO and why he just pulled and redirected funding to them.
This time I am going to pay a lot more attention to the emotions of the news and reactions. Fear really does control the stock market.
I don't think re-starting it is the hard part: if people can get out and want things, businesses will fire back up with a roar. The tricky part is the rebound effect if we open too carelessly and infection rates spike, causing a renewed panic and shutdowns. One thing an economy does really badly with is capricious abrupt micromanagement and whipsawing.
But I worry about re-starting the economy in the sense that I worry about our political will to get out of the way and restart it, knowing that fickle voters will exact revenge if whatever we do is less than 100% safe and cost-free.
One very real concern we should have for segments of the economy is demand- as in, after all the valid concern and care, and a not small amount of scare mongering, will people go back to even modified restaurants? Travel? It's a big question right now.
Douglas has a good point. Entertainment venues are not going to open, based on the just-released presidential recommendations. Air-travel will be slow to start to recover, and there's going to be a LOT of social pressure not to gather in large groups, lest someone fall ill of something (the guidelines are far too vague for my comfort) and everyone gets shut in their houses all over again for at least 28 days.
Plus people will not have the spending money to quickly return to their little luxuries. That "latte and a scone" is going to be spent on rent, car payments, student loans, and credit-card debt, I suspect. Or to replenishing staples that were consumed during the reduced supply period.
will people go back to even modified restaurants? Travel?
We'll be going back, and soon. There are some restaurants whose food we mightily enjoy. We don't travel--the USAF ran us all over the world; there's no interest left--so our continued not traveling won't impact anything.
That "latte and a scone" is going to be spent on rent, car payments, student loans, and credit-card debt, I suspect. Or to replenishing staples that were consumed during the reduced supply period.
That's part of the initial gutsing up and restarting that'll help get more going. Ripple effects do exist, and with the typical velocity of money extant in the US, it won't take long.
As for the guidelines being vague, they have to be at the Federal level. No two States are alike, and within States, no two counties or townships are alike. The guidelines are specific enough to give the governors their clear framework, and they can tailor their responses within the guidelines.
Besides, the governors were yapping over who had the requisite authorities--to what degree they were right or wrong is no longer relevant--now they got what they wished for.
From what I can determine we currently have about 2x ICU beds for every current infection, at least confirmed ones. Of course they don’t all need ICUs, thankfully.
1. Trum was duped into shutting down the country by CDC vaccine profiteers like Fauci.
2. Trum and company are worried about another bio weapon that is more lethal in Fall 2020, thus prepping themselves with loads of hospitals and gearing up.
3. Trum and Q anon are pulling a coup de tat against Deep State using the Corona lockdown as cover and OPSEC.
Those are the 3 primary assessments of this situation.
8 comments:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dBxsB5o5nk
Trum talks more about how governors asked for more than they thought they needed.
Mostly because Trum knew any potential trauma casualties would be coming from inside certain city combat theaters.
As for the CDC/Who, I mentioned here that they Obeyed orders from a chain of command that was not what people thought. Trum talks more about what was going on with WHO and why he just pulled and redirected funding to them.
This time I am going to pay a lot more attention to the emotions of the news and reactions. Fear really does control the stock market.
I hope we continue to enjoy better results than anticipated, but I frankly worry more about getting the economy restarted now.
I don't think re-starting it is the hard part: if people can get out and want things, businesses will fire back up with a roar. The tricky part is the rebound effect if we open too carelessly and infection rates spike, causing a renewed panic and shutdowns. One thing an economy does really badly with is capricious abrupt micromanagement and whipsawing.
But I worry about re-starting the economy in the sense that I worry about our political will to get out of the way and restart it, knowing that fickle voters will exact revenge if whatever we do is less than 100% safe and cost-free.
One very real concern we should have for segments of the economy is demand- as in, after all the valid concern and care, and a not small amount of scare mongering, will people go back to even modified restaurants? Travel? It's a big question right now.
Douglas has a good point. Entertainment venues are not going to open, based on the just-released presidential recommendations. Air-travel will be slow to start to recover, and there's going to be a LOT of social pressure not to gather in large groups, lest someone fall ill of something (the guidelines are far too vague for my comfort) and everyone gets shut in their houses all over again for at least 28 days.
Plus people will not have the spending money to quickly return to their little luxuries. That "latte and a scone" is going to be spent on rent, car payments, student loans, and credit-card debt, I suspect. Or to replenishing staples that were consumed during the reduced supply period.
LittleRed1
will people go back to even modified restaurants? Travel?
We'll be going back, and soon. There are some restaurants whose food we mightily enjoy. We don't travel--the USAF ran us all over the world; there's no interest left--so our continued not traveling won't impact anything.
That "latte and a scone" is going to be spent on rent, car payments, student loans, and credit-card debt, I suspect. Or to replenishing staples that were consumed during the reduced supply period.
That's part of the initial gutsing up and restarting that'll help get more going. Ripple effects do exist, and with the typical velocity of money extant in the US, it won't take long.
As for the guidelines being vague, they have to be at the Federal level. No two States are alike, and within States, no two counties or townships are alike. The guidelines are specific enough to give the governors their clear framework, and they can tailor their responses within the guidelines.
Besides, the governors were yapping over who had the requisite authorities--to what degree they were right or wrong is no longer relevant--now they got what they wished for.
Eric Hines
From what I can determine we currently have about 2x ICU beds for every current infection, at least confirmed ones. Of course they don’t all need ICUs, thankfully.
3 possibilities.
1. Trum was duped into shutting down the country by CDC vaccine profiteers like Fauci.
2. Trum and company are worried about another bio weapon that is more lethal in Fall 2020, thus prepping themselves with loads of hospitals and gearing up.
3. Trum and Q anon are pulling a coup de tat against Deep State using the Corona lockdown as cover and OPSEC.
Those are the 3 primary assessments of this situation.
Post a Comment