Bouncing off highs

With any luck, Dorian could turn out to be a fish storm: those tracks keep drifting east.  Even my neighbors with a nervous eye out on their upcoming trip to D.C. may luck out.  As my husband says, get ready for a lot of frantic TV anchormen urging everyone to watch out for rip currents, the last refuge of a disappointed weather program producer.

There's still that interesting green model that wants the storm to do a loop-de-loop over Okeefenokee, and the standard "what if it just never turns again" reality-check model, with Biloxi in its sights.

This time of year the relentless bright sunny hot days get a little old, but I'll say one thing for them:  if you have a high-pressure area parked over you, you're not getting a hurricane.


Anonymous said...

For us to get a hurricane, it has to come in over Brownsville and track north from there. It does happen, but not as often as it used to. I'm sure the folks down-state are just fine with that.


E Hines said...

I'm not sure the new bendy tracks represent an improvement for Florida, especially the western half of the projected tracks.

Running up the coast will just let Dorian keep replenishing its water supply, facilitating a longer-duration water transfer from the ocean to the peninsula. All the way up the peninsula.

Eric Hines

Texan99 said...

It may ending up raking the coast, which will be bad, but the really nasty winds are in the core. If that stays offshore, it's still mostly a fish problem. The further offshore, the better, and I'm liking the trend.

But I don't discount the possibility of dreadful rainfall totals, and 150 mph winds are no joke. Maybe it will peak early.

Grim said...

Good luck to those in the storm's path. Hopefully, as you say, mostly fish.

Texan99 said...

Some bad damage to any buildings in the storm surge, but I've been pretty impressed by how well houses are holding up in most of the videos, even footage taken during the eye after the worst of the eyewall. New constructions techniques really work as long as you're not in a storm surge.