If allowance is made for the fact that the Democrats carry California and New York by almost 5 million more votes than the Republicans comfortably carry Texas, Florida, and Tennessee, Trump is leading by about 8 million votes in the other 45 states.Of course, it's not about the popular vote, it's the vote in the likely swing states.
There are signs, but it's no time to let up. One sign that really got my attention was the Michigan Dem congresswoman that said her polling showed Kamala "underwater". Admission against interest is pretty powerful. https://x.com/saras76/status/1840548433821683771
ReplyDeleteThe ballots haven't been counted, yet. And they're not being counted properly.
ReplyDeleteThe Republican National Committee has filed a lawsuit against Detroit, alleging that city officials haven't hired enough Republican election inspectors, also known as poll workers.
...
According to the lawsuit, the city appointed 310 Republican election inspectors and 2,337 Democrats for the primary election on Aug. 6.
They're trying to get that corrected in time for the 6 Nov election.
Eric Hines
Forgot the link
Deletehttps://www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news/rnc-sues-detroit-republican-election-inspectors/
Eric Hines
Everyone seems to have trouble believing the polls, on both sides. I've seen several pieces in mainstream places lately that take the same attitude that Hillary Clinton voiced in 2016: "Why isn't she up by fifty points?"
ReplyDeleteOutside that social group, though, who could want another four years of this?
It's a measure, I think, of how big the class of people who are tied to the machine really is. They dominate numerous sectors of public life, and rejecting the machine is unthinkable within those circles. Public school teachers exist everywhere, and must wonder if Trump might really do away with their monopoly and back radical reforms; government employees, the same; public sector unions; and all their families, who depend on the money machine.
It really is a lot of people. I suspect the election is somewhat close in fact, even though I also expect their victory -- should it come -- to be dependent on ballot fraud in key cities in a few swing states.
By coincidence, here is an estimate of the numbers that I just found:
ReplyDeletehttps://ijr.com/terence-p-jeffrey-government-employees-exceed-population-of-florida/
22 million; if you estimate them as 80% likely to vote Democrat, and that those Democratic families have 4 members that will follow the same interest-based voting pattern, that's 70.4 million people. That's only 11 million shy of the 81 million votes claimed for Biden in 2020.
It's a very rough back-of-the-envelope calculation, but it shows why the numbers might really be closer than it seems sensible to believe.