There's still that interesting green model that wants the storm to do a loop-de-loop over Okeefenokee, and the standard "what if it just never turns again" reality-check model, with Biloxi in its sights.
This time of year the relentless bright sunny hot days get a little old, but I'll say one thing for them: if you have a high-pressure area parked over you, you're not getting a hurricane.
For us to get a hurricane, it has to come in over Brownsville and track north from there. It does happen, but not as often as it used to. I'm sure the folks down-state are just fine with that.
ReplyDeleteLittleRed1
I'm not sure the new bendy tracks represent an improvement for Florida, especially the western half of the projected tracks.
ReplyDeleteRunning up the coast will just let Dorian keep replenishing its water supply, facilitating a longer-duration water transfer from the ocean to the peninsula. All the way up the peninsula.
Eric Hines
It may ending up raking the coast, which will be bad, but the really nasty winds are in the core. If that stays offshore, it's still mostly a fish problem. The further offshore, the better, and I'm liking the trend.
ReplyDeleteBut I don't discount the possibility of dreadful rainfall totals, and 150 mph winds are no joke. Maybe it will peak early.
Good luck to those in the storm's path. Hopefully, as you say, mostly fish.
ReplyDeleteSome bad damage to any buildings in the storm surge, but I've been pretty impressed by how well houses are holding up in most of the videos, even footage taken during the eye after the worst of the eyewall. New constructions techniques really work as long as you're not in a storm surge.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qqyscJZDfe8