RBG is Probably Correct

There's been a lot of laughter about Justice Ginsburg's claim that she thinks she has 'at least five more years' to spend as she chooses. People should stop laughing. The actuaries are on her side. Her probability of dying this year is only seven percent, and her life expectancy is nearly seven years.

Once you make it to 85, the odds of reaching 90 aren't bad. They're better if you're female.

1 comment:

Texan99 said...

On the other hand, she's had colon cancer and pancreatic cancer. In both cases, it's true, they apparently caught the disease early, and she's already survived long enough to suggest that she's in the tail of the statistical distribution. So who knows.